# Clinical Efficacy of Tozinameran in COVID-19 Prevention

## What clinical efficacy data support Tozinameran's prevention of COVID-19?

Randomized controlled trials enrolling over 46,000 participants and real-world observational studies including millions of individuals demonstrate that Tozinameran prevents COVID-19 with 91-95% efficacy against symptomatic infection and over 95% efficacy against severe disease, hospitalization, and death across age groups and SARS-CoV-2 variants.

## Abstract

Tozinameran demonstrated 95% efficacy (95% CI: 90.3-97.6) against laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 in phase 3 randomized controlled trials, with real-world observational studies confirming 91-95.3% effectiveness. Protection against severe outcomes was exceptionally high, with efficacy of 96.7% against severe disease, 94.3% against hospitalization, and 96.1% against COVID-19-related death. The vaccine also prevented asymptomatic infection with 89-91% efficacy.

Efficacy declined gradually from 96.2% in the first two months to 83.7% after four months following the second dose, but a third booster dose restored efficacy to 95.3%. The vaccine maintained substantial protection across SARS-CoV-2 variants, including 100% efficacy against the B.1.351 (beta) variant in South Africa, 85-97% against B.1.1.7 (alpha), and 81-96% against Delta.

Efficacy was preserved across age groups from adolescents (100% efficacy) to adults aged 75 and older (82%). The safety profile was favorable, with predominantly mild-to-moderate transient reactogenicity and low rates of serious adverse events similar to placebo.

## Methods

We analyzed 10 sources from an initial pool of 200, using 8 screening criteria. Each paper was reviewed for 8 key aspects that mattered most to the research question.

### Screening Criteria

- **Primary Intervention**: Does this study investigate Tozinameran as the primary intervention?
- **Clinical Efficacy Outcomes**: Does this study report clinical efficacy outcomes for COVID-19 prevention?
- **Study Design**: Is this study a randomized controlled trial, cohort study, or similar?
- **Comparative Design**: Does this study compare Tozinameran to placebo or other vaccines?
- **Study Population**: Does this study include participants eligible for Tozinameran?
- **Beyond Safety/Immunogenicity Only**: Does this study report clinical efficacy outcomes?
- **Human Clinical Research**: Is this a human clinical study?
- **Isolatable Tozinameran Effects**: Can the effects of Tozinameran be isolated in this study?

## Results

### Characteristics of Included Studies
| Study                           | Full text retrieved? | Study Type                                     | Sample Size             | Population             | Geographic Location | Follow-up Duration | Predominant Variant              |
|----------------------------------|---------------------|------------------------------------------------|-------------------------|------------------------|---------------------|--------------------|----------------------------------|
| F. Polack et al., 2020          | Yes                 | RCT, observer-blinded, placebo-controlled       | 43,548 participants     | Persons ≥16 years      | Multinational       | Median 2 months    | Not reported                      |
| S. J. Thomas et al., 2021       | Yes                 | RCT, observer-blinded, placebo-controlled       | 46,429 participants     | Persons ≥12 years      | Multinational       | 6 months           | B.1.351 (beta) in South Africa  |
| E. Moreira et al., 2022         | No                  | RCT, placebo-controlled                           | 10,125 participants     | Persons ≥16 years      | Not specified       | Median 2.5 months   | Not reported                      |
| Eric J Haas et al., 2021        | Yes                 | Observational study                             | 6.5 million residents   | Residents of Israel ≥16 | Israel              | Median 7 weeks      | B.1.1.7 (94.5% prevalence)      |
| G. Chodick et al., 2021         | Yes                 | Historical cohort study                         | 1,178,597 individuals   | MHS members ≥16 years   | Israel              | 7-27 days after second dose| Not specified                      |

### Efficacy Against Laboratory-Confirmed COVID-19

#### Primary Two-Dose Series Efficacy
| Study                           | Outcome                       | Time Point                  | Efficacy (95% CI)      | Cases (Vaccine/Placebo) |
|----------------------------------|-------------------------------|-----------------------------|-------------------------|--------------------------|
| F. Polack et al., 2020          | Laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 | ≥7 days after dose 2       | 95% (90.3-97.6)         | 8/162                   |
| S. J. Thomas et al., 2021       | Laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 | Through 6 months           | 91% (89.0-93.2)         | Not specified            |
| Eric J Haas et al., 2021        | SARS-CoV-2 infection          | ≥7 days after dose 2       | 95.3% (94.9-95.7)       | Incidence: 3.1 vs 91.5   |
| G. Chodick et al., 2021         | SARS-CoV-2 infection          | 7-27 days after dose 2     | 90% (79-95)             | Incidence: 5.4 vs 54.8   |

### Variant-Specific Efficacy
The B.1.351 (beta) variant, despite reduced neutralization in laboratory studies, maintained clinical protection of 100%. The B.1.1.7 (alpha) variant showed effectiveness of 85-97%, and for the Delta variant, effectiveness was assessed at 81.2% for symptomatic disease, maintaining 96% against hospitalization.

## Safety Profile

The vaccine demonstrated a favorable safety profile, predominantly mild to moderate reactogenicity, including injection site reactions and transient fatigue. Serious events were rare and comparable between the vaccinated and control groups.

## Synthesis
The body of evidence supporting Tozinameran's efficacy exceeds 90% against symptomatic COVID-19, with protection exceeding 95% against severe disease, hospitalization, and death. The findings are consistent across diverse populations and variants, indicating robust real-world effectiveness.

## References

1. Eric J Haas et al., 2021. Impact of BNT162b2 vaccine in Israel. Clinical Infectious Diseases.
2. F. Polack et al., 2020. Safety and Efficacy of the BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine. New England Journal of Medicine.
3. S. J. Thomas et al., 2021. Safety and Efficacy of the BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine through 6 Months. New England Journal of Medicine.
