Elicit: Ocrelizumab vs Ofatumumab: Relapse and Disability Outcomes (public)

Ocrelizumab vs Ofatumumab: Relapse and Disability Outcomes

What is the annualized relapse rate and confirmed disability progression with ocrelizumab vs ofatumumab in registry data?

Abstract

Registry studies in multiple sclerosis report that ocrelizumab and ofatumumab yield comparable outcomes. In one large, multicenter, propensity‐matched study (Zanghì et al., 2024), the annualized relapse rate was 0.059 with ocrelizumab versus 0.038 with ofatumumab (p = 0.185), and both treatments showed 0% confirmed disability progression over 12 months. A small post–natalizumab cohort (Cunha et al., 2025) likewise observed no significant change in relapse rate or in Expanded Disability Status Scale scores between ocrelizumab and ofatumumab. Other registry reports of ocrelizumab document relapse rates ranging from 0.014 to 0.11, with very low rates of confirmed disability progression over follow-up intervals from 6 months to several years.

These findings indicate that, based on available registry data, ocrelizumab and ofatumumab produce similar outcomes in annualized relapse rate and short-term disability progression among patients with multiple sclerosis.

Methods

We analyzed 40 sources from an initial pool of 999, using 8 screening criteria. Each paper was reviewed for 7 key aspects that mattered most to the research question.

Paper search

Using your research question “What is the annualized relapse rate and confirmed disability progression with ocrelizumab vs ofatumumab in registry data?”, we searched across over 126 million academic papers from the Semantic Scholar corpus. We retrieved the 999 papers most relevant to the query.

Screening

We screened in sources based on their abstracts that met these criteria:

We considered all screening questions together and made a holistic judgement about whether to screen in each paper.

Data extraction

We asked a large language model to extract each data column below from each paper. We gave the model the extraction instructions shown below for each column.

Identify and extract the specific type of study design. Look in the methods section for details such as:

If multiple design characteristics are present, list all. If unclear, note “design not clearly specified”. Prioritize the most specific description of the study design.

Extract key patient demographic and clinical characteristics:

If ranges or confidence intervals are provided, include those. If data is missing for any characteristic, note “not reported”.

List the specific treatments being compared:

If multiple comparisons were made, list all. Ensure the interventions match the research question (ocrelizumab vs ofatumumab).

Extract ARR data:

Record the exact numerical values and confidence intervals. If ARR is reported differently (e.g., percentage of relapse-free patients), note this explicitly.

Extract confirmed disability progression data:

If multiple time points are reported, prioritize the primary follow-up period specified in the study.

Record:

If multiple follow-up periods are reported, note the primary analysis period. If not clearly specified, note “follow-up duration not clearly reported”.

Extract information on:

If no safety issues are reported, explicitly note “no significant safety concerns reported”. Quantify side effects if possible (percentage of patients affected).

Results

Characteristics of Included Studies

Study Study Design Registry Source Population Size Follow-up Duration Full text retrieved
Zanghì et al., 2024 Retrospective cohort, multicenter, propensity-matched Italian multiple sclerosis centers 396 (ocrelizumab: 216, ofatumumab: 180) Mean 13.2 months Yes
Zhu et al., 2022 Retrospective, multicenter, inverse probability of treatment weighting MSBase 1045 ocrelizumab: median 1.8 years; cladribine: 1.1 years; natalizumab: 3.6 years Yes
Ghajarzadeh et al., 2025 Systematic review/meta-analysis Multiple No mention found No mention found No
Cunha et al., 2025 Retrospective cohort No mention found 59 No mention found No
Epstein et al., 2021 Retrospective chart review No mention found 56 2 years No
Ellwardt et al., 2020 Retrospective, multicenter, observational 3 neurology centers 210 Median 200 days (range 30–1674) No
Cellerino et al., 2021 Prospective, single-center, observational No mention found 153 Median 1.9 years (1.3–2.7) Yes
Muros-Le Rouzic et al., 2024 Retrospective, registry, multicenter, propensity score matching OPERA, NTD 611 (OPERA), 7141 (NTD) 5.5 years No
Zhu et al., 2023 Retrospective, multicenter, inverse probability of treatment weighting MSBase 1386 Median 2.7 years Yes
Schuldesz et al., 2025 Prospective, single-center, cohort No mention found 98 2 years No

Effects

Annualized Relapse Rate

Study Treatment Annualized Relapse Rate (95% CI) Study Population Effect Size
Zanghì et al., 2024 ocrelizumab: 0.059; ofatumumab: 0.038 (p=0.185) Relapsing multiple sclerosis No significant difference
Zhu et al., 2022 ocrelizumab: 0.07 (0.04–0.13); natalizumab: 0.11 (0.09–0.14); cladribine: 0.25 (0.12–0.57) Relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis post-fingolimod ocrelizumab superior to cladribine, lower than natalizumab
Cunha et al., 2025 rituximab: 0.08 (post-switch); ocrelizumab/ofatumumab: no significant change Post-natalizumab No significant change for ocrelizumab/ofatumumab
Boz et al., 2023 ocrelizumab: 0.08 (0.06–0.11); natalizumab: 0.09 (0.07–0.12); fingolimod: 0.17 (0.15–0.19) Relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis ocrelizumab/natalizumab similar, both superior to fingolimod
Zhu et al., 2023 ocrelizumab: 0.06 (0.04–0.08); fingolimod: 0.26 (0.12–0.48); dimethyl fumarate: 0.27 (0.12–0.56) Relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis post-natalizumab ocrelizumab superior to both
Roos et al., 2024 ocrelizumab: 0.05; cladribine: 0.09; natalizumab: 0.06; fingolimod: 0.12; alemtuzumab: 0.04 Relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis ocrelizumab superior to cladribine/fingolimod, similar to natalizumab/alemtuzumab
Roos et al., 2022 ocrelizumab: 0.08 vs interferon: 0.27; ocrelizumab: 0.03 vs fingolimod: 0.14; ocrelizumab: 0.06 vs natalizumab: 0.08 Relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis ocrelizumab superior to interferon/fingolimod, similar to natalizumab
Axhausen et al., 2025 ocrelizumab/ofatumumab: no mention found Active multiple sclerosis Effectiveness comparable
Buttmann et al., 2025 ocrelizumab: 0.11 (SD 0.31) Relapsing multiple sclerosis Annualized relapse rate declines over 5 years
Guerra et al., 2025 ocrelizumab: 0.02 (0.004–0.062) (year 2) Relapsing-remitting/primary progressive/secondary progressive multiple sclerosis Annualized relapse rate drops from 0.61 pre-treatment

Confirmed Disability Progression

Study Treatment Confirmed Disability Progression Rate Time to Progression Statistical Significance
Zanghì et al., 2024 ocrelizumab/ofatumumab 0% 12 months No difference
Zhu et al., 2022 ocrelizumab/natalizumab no mention found No mention found No significant difference
Cunha et al., 2025 ocrelizumab/ofatumumab no significant change; rituximab: Expanded Disability Status Scale increased (p=0.022) No mention found No significant difference for ocrelizumab/ofatumumab
Boz et al., 2023 ocrelizumab/natalizumab/fingolimod no mention found 1–2 years No significant difference
Zhu et al., 2023 ocrelizumab: 48 events; fingolimod: 184 events No mention found Fingolimod higher risk than ocrelizumab (hazard ratio 1.49, p=0.02)
Roos et al., 2024 ocrelizumab: hazard ratio 0.45 (0.26–0.78) vs cladribine No mention found ocrelizumab lower risk than cladribine
Axhausen et al., 2025 ocrelizumab/ofatumumab no mention found No mention found Comparable effectiveness
Buttmann et al., 2025 ocrelizumab: no mention found 5 years No mention found
Guerra et al., 2025 ocrelizumab: 26.4% (year 2) → 7.85% (year 4) 4 years Significant only in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis
Santiago-Setien et al., 2023 ocrelizumab: 0% 96 weeks No difference

Registry Data Considerations

References

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